Geopolitics, risk and opportunity in the oil and gas industry
Training
In London
Description
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Type
Training
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Level
Intermediate
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Location
London
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Duration
4 Days
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Start date
Different dates available
Geopolitical issues form an important component of the overall uncertainty in which the industry operates around the World and frequently determine the long-term success or failure of specific oil and gas ventures. Risk and opportunity are multi-faceted phenomena impacting all sectors of the oil and gas industry in a variety of ways, with geopolitics being a key facet. It is essential that the less tangible political, geopolitical and extreme risk exposures need to be adequately considered when investment decisions are made.
The course consists of a balanced mix of presentations, interactive exercises, some illuminating video clips and spends the last quarter of each day with up-to-date regional reviews from across the world.
Facilities
Location
Start date
Start date
About this course
The course is structured to appeal to a multi-disciplined audience with diverse commercial, technical and professional backgrounds and experience levels from within oil and gas companies and government departments. However, a range of professionals from the industry support and service sectors (e.g. economics, banking, insurance, legal, negotiation and public relations), including governmental and non-governmental agencies, could gain a deeper understanding of the uncertainties facing all sectors of the oil and gas industry.
Reviews
Subjects
- Risk
- Risk Analysis
- Risk Management
- Oil and Gas
- Petroleum Engineering
- Gas
- Industry
- IT risk
- Oil Exploration
- Petroleum
- Terrorism
- Security risks
- Piracy
- Kidnapping
- Extortion
Course programme
Day One: Global Mind-set and Risk Analysis
- Approaching oil and gas ventures with a global mind-set
- A common language for risk, opportunity and uncertainty management
- Less tangible political, fiscal, market and trading uncertainties
- Quick-look country risk / opportunity assessments
- Risks associated with costs of supply
- Qualitative approaches to analysing uncertainty, risk and opportunity
- Catastrophic risks: exposure to low-probability but high-impact events
- Credit rating agencies and country risk
- Semi-quantitative approaches to analysing risk
Regional Reviews
- Central Asia to Europe pipelines
- Caspian Sea landlocked countries
- India, United States, Canada and Mexico: unconventional resources
Day Two: Risk Mitigation and Decision-making
- Protecting the assets: risk mitigation by safety management systems
- Milestone, holistic and systematic approaches to risk management
- Consequences of long-term community unrest
- Defining context and involvement in risk / opportunity management
- FEED, EPC and construction risk management processes
- Competitive bidding for contracts
- Identifying and analysing specific risks – roles for expert panels
- Performing & interpreting quantitative risk analysis
- Geopolitics of Eastern and Western Europe's gas supply
- Ranking potential events & constructing risk / opportunity profiles
- Decision trees aid risk analysis of alternative outcomes
Regional Case Reviews
- OPEC, GECF (Gas Exporting Countries Forum) and Reserves
- North Africa
- Russia and Arctic Ocean continental shelf
- West Africa – oil, gas and LNG
Day Three: Many Facets of Risk
- Real options for complex and phased decision analysis
- Politics and risks of emissions targets, climate policies & carbon capture
- Insurance and contracting strategies to mitigate and transfer risk
- Terrorism, piracy, kidnapping, extortion and other security risks
- Devising risk mitigation and opportunity exploitation strategies
- Risk-sharing and alliances to improve commitment and to spread risks
- Political conflict & confrontation
- Risks associated with project finance in petroleum industry
- Competitive bidding theory versus practice
Regional Case Reviews
- Colombia – Venezuela - Panama Canal - Trinidad
- Iran – Qatar-UAE - Oman
- Iraq (Kurdistan) - Syria – Turkey
- Central and Eastern Africa
Day Four: Integrated Approaches to Geopolitics and Risk
- Risks associated with estimating and controlling project costs
- International oil & gas company performance risks
- Risk and valuation modelling of oil and gas asset portfolios
- Exploiting non-conventional oil: environmental and geopolitical risks
- Canada’s oil sands: national & corporate risks
- Relevance of enterprise approach to risk management
- Cross-border permit unitisation disputes and resolutions
- National oil/gas company strategies, acquisitions and privatisations
- Corporate and individual appetites and preferences for risk
- NOC and IOC attributes compared
- Corporate governance issues for the industry: Enron case study
Regional Case Reviews
- Alaska's stranded Arctic gas
- Australasia
- South America - Southern Cone
- China, Japan and Vietnam
Geopolitics, risk and opportunity in the oil and gas industry