Applied Water Technology in Oil and Gas Production - PF-21

Decision Modeling: application of DA process for modeling; influence diagrams; free cash flow concept; sensitivity analysis; documentation and good modeling practices; real options overview; Monte Carlo Simulation: prospect risking (similar to play analysis); calculating probabilities and distributions with simulation; modeling and optimizing investment portfolios; valuing added control and flexibility; stopping rules; ways to model correlation; Decision Tree Analysis: value of information review; sensitivity analysis; solving with utility for risk aversion; Decision Policy: overview of finance theory related to PV discount rate and risk (CAPM and modern portfolio theory); shareholder value model; portfolio optimization to maximize economic value; efficient frontiers; multi-criteria decisions; risk policy as a utility function; calculating expected utility and certain equivalent; insurance and hedging; optimizing working interests; Implementation: presentation formats; model-centric enterprise model and balanced scorecard (dashboard) element focusing on shareholder value creation forecast

Forecasting oil production; Defining: "reserves", operating expenses, capital expenditures, inflation, factors effecting oil and gas prices; Cash flow techniques; Economic criteria: interest, hurdle rate, time value of money, selection, ranking criteria; Risk, uncertainty: types of risk, mathematical techniques, probabilistic models, uncertainty in economic analysis; Financing, ownership in the oil and gas industry: business arrangements between operators, between mineral owners; Accounting versus cash flow: accounting principles and definitions, differences between accounting cash numbers, depreciation, depletion, amortization; Budgeting: types, processes, selecting of projects for the budget; Economic analysis of operations; Computer economics software; Tips on economic factors in computer spreadsheet analysis; Ethics in economic analyses

Decision Modeling: application of DA process for modeling; influence diagrams; free cash flow concept; sensitivity analysis; documentation and good modeling practices; real options overview; Monte Carlo Simulation: prospect risking (similar to play analysis); calculating probabilities and distributions with simulation; modeling and optimizing investment portfolios; valuing added control and flexibility; stopping rules; ways to model correlation; Decision Tree Analysis: value of information review; sensitivity analysis; solving with utility for risk aversion; Decision Policy: overview of finance theory related to PV discount rate and risk (CAPM and modern portfolio theory); shareholder value model; portfolio optimization to maximize economic value; efficient frontiers; multi-criteria decisions; risk policy as a utility function; calculating expected utility and certain equivalent; insurance and hedging; optimizing working interests; Implementation: presentation formats; model-centric enterprise model and balanced scorecard (dashboard) element focusing on shareholder value creation forecast

Forecasting oil production; Defining: "reserves", operating expenses, capital expenditures, inflation, factors effecting oil and gas prices; Cash flow techniques; Economic criteria: interest, hurdle rate, time value of money, selection, ranking criteria; Risk, uncertainty: types of risk, mathematical techniques, probabilistic models, uncertainty in economic analysis; Financing, ownership in the oil and gas industry: business arrangements between operators, between mineral owners; Accounting versus cash flow: accounting principles and definitions, differences between accounting cash numbers, depreciation, depletion, amortization; Budgeting: types, processes, selecting of projects for the budget; Economic analysis of operations; Computer economics software; Tips on economic factors in computer spreadsheet analysis; Ethics in economic analyses