Making Numerical Predictions For Time Series Data - Part 1/3

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Predictive analytics is the branch of the advanced analytics which is used to make predictions about unknown future events. Predictive analytics uses many techniques from data mining, statistics, modelling, machine learning, and artificial intelligence to analyse current data to make predictions about future.One class of Predictive Analytics is to make prediction on Time Series Data. Studying historical data, collected over a period of time, can help in building models using which future can be predicted. For example, from historical data on Temperatures in a City, we can make decent predictions of what the Temperature could be in a future date. Or for that matter, from data collected over a reasonably long period of time regarding various life style aspects of a Diabetic patient, we can predict what should be the volume of Insulin to inject on a given date in future. One example to consider from the Business world could be to predict the Volume of In-Roamers in a Telecom Network in any given period of time in the future from the historical details of In-Roamers in the Network.The applications are just innumerable as these are applicable in every sphere of business and life.In this course, we go through various aspects of building Predictive Analytics Models. We start with simple techniques and gradually study very advanced and contemporary techniques. We cover using Descriptive Statistics, Moving Averages, Regressions, Machine Learning and Neural Networks.This course is a series of 3 parts.In Part 1, we use Excel to make Numerical Predictions from Time Series Data.We start by using Excel for 2 reasons.Excel is easy use and thus we can understand complex concepts through exercises that are easy to replicate and thus become easy to understand.
Excel is expected to be available with everyone taking this course.
In Part 2, we use R Programming to make Numerical Predictions from Time Series Data.

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About this course

Predicting using Descriptive Statistics, Moving Averages, Centred Moving Averages, Weighted Moving Averages
Predicting using Linear Regression
Predicting using Exponential Regression
Predicting using Power Regression
Predicting using Logarithmic Regression
Predicting using Polynomial Regression
Using Excel to make Predictions
Using Data Analysis Tool Pak from Excel
Using LINEST(), LOGEST(), GROWTH(), TREND() functions in Excel

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2021

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Subjects

  • Network Training
  • MS Excel
  • Confidence Training
  • Statistics
  • Network
  • Forecasting
  • Forecasts
  • Excel
  • Interpreting

Course programme

Welcome to the Course 2 lectures 07:51 Introduction to the Course preview Course Contents preview Welcome to the Course 2 lectures 07:51 Introduction to the Course preview Course Contents preview Introduction to the Course preview Introduction to the Course preview Introduction to the Course preview Introduction to the Course preview Course Contents preview Course Contents preview Course Contents preview Course Contents preview Introduction to Time Series Data 1 lecture 08:12 A look at Time Series Data preview Generally, it is seen that forecasting involves studying the behaviour of a characteristic over time and examining data for a pattern. The forecasts are made by assuming that, in future, the characteristic will continue to behave according to the same pattern.A Time Series is a collection of observations made sequentially over a period of time. Introduction to Time Series Data 1 lecture 08:12 A look at Time Series Data preview Generally, it is seen that forecasting involves studying the behaviour of a characteristic over time and examining data for a pattern. The forecasts are made by assuming that, in future, the characteristic will continue to behave according to the same pattern.A Time Series is a collection of observations made sequentially over a period of time. A look at Time Series Data preview Generally, it is seen that forecasting involves studying the behaviour of a characteristic over time and examining data for a pattern. The forecasts are made by assuming that, in future, the characteristic will continue to behave according to the same pattern.A Time Series is a collection of observations made sequentially over a period of time. A look at Time Series Data preview Generally, it is seen that forecasting involves studying the behaviour of a characteristic over time and examining data for a pattern. The forecasts are made by assuming that, in future, the characteristic will continue to behave according to the same pattern.A Time Series is a collection of observations made sequentially over a period of time. A look at Time Series Data preview Generally, it is seen that forecasting involves studying the behaviour of a characteristic over time and examining data for a pattern. The forecasts are made by assuming that, in future, the characteristic will continue to behave according to the same pattern.A Time Series is a collection of observations made sequentially over a period of time. A look at Time Series Data preview Generally, it is seen that forecasting involves studying the behaviour of a characteristic over time and examining data for a pattern. The forecasts are made by assuming that, in future, the characteristic will continue to behave according to the same pattern.A Time Series is a collection of observations made sequentially over a period of time. Generally, it is seen that forecasting involves studying the behaviour of a characteristic over time and examining data for a pattern. The forecasts are made by assuming that, in future, the characteristic will continue to behave according to the same pattern.A Time Series is a collection of observations made sequentially over a period of time. Generally, it is seen that forecasting involves studying the behaviour of a characteristic over time and examining data for a pattern. The forecasts are made by assuming that, in future, the characteristic will continue to behave according to the same pattern.A Time Series is a collection of observations made sequentially over a period of time. Moving Averages 6 lectures 01:05:17 Using Descriptive Statistics to Predict Values Descriptive statistics are brief descriptive coefficients that summarize a given data set, which can be either a representation of the entire or a sample of a population. Descriptive statistics are broken down into measures of central tendency and measures of variability (spread).A simple, but widely used, strategy to predict future demand is to use central tendencies of past data to be used as the future demand. Predicting using Moving Averages Moving Averages Prediction is another simple, but powerful, way to predict future values based on historic data. Moving Averages takes in to consideration recency of data. Centred Moving Averages preview A more popular variation of Moving Averages is Centred Moving Averages. This video discussed using Centred Moving Averages for Predicting Future Value. Weighted Moving Averages Weighted Moving Averages is a more powerful tool for predicting future values as it has mechanism to give more priority to factors like RECENCY of data. Calculating Standard Deviation for Prediction made using Moving Averages One of the methods for finding confidence in the predictions made using Moving Averages is by determining and interpreting the Standard Deviation of the Predictions. Predicting for Seasonal Data In this video, we discuss technique for predicting future values when the Time Series Data has Seasonality Component. Moving Averages. 6 lectures 01:05:17 Using Descriptive Statistics to Predict Values Descriptive statistics are brief descriptive coefficients that summarize a given data set, which can be either a representation of the entire or a sample of a population. Descriptive statistics are broken down into measures of central tendency and measures of variability (spread).A simple, but widely used, strategy to predict future demand is to use central tendencies of past data to be used as the future demand. Predicting using Moving Averages Moving Averages Prediction is another simple, but powerful, way to predict future values based on historic data. Moving Averages takes in to consideration recency of data. Centred Moving Averages preview A more popular variation of Moving Averages is Centred Moving Averages. This video discussed using Centred Moving Averages for Predicting Future Value. Weighted Moving Averages Weighted Moving Averages is a more powerful tool for predicting future values as it has mechanism to give more priority to factors like RECENCY of data. Calculating Standard Deviation for Prediction made using Moving Averages One of the methods for finding confidence in the predictions made using Moving Averages is by determining and interpreting the Standard Deviation of the Predictions. Predicting for Seasonal Data In this video, we discuss technique for predicting future values when the Time Series Data has Seasonality Component. Using Descriptive Statistics to Predict Values Descriptive statistics are brief descriptive coefficients that summarize a given data set, which can be either a representation of the entire or a sample of a population. Descriptive statistics are broken down into measures of central tendency and measures of variability (spread).A simple, but widely used, strategy to predict future demand is to use central tendencies of past data to be used as the future demand. Using Descriptive Statistics to Predict Values Descriptive statistics are brief descriptive coefficients that summarize a given data set, which can be either a representation of the entire or a sample of a population. Descriptive statistics are broken down into measures of central tendency and measures of variability (spread).A simple, but widely used, strategy to predict future demand is to use central tendencies of past data to be used as the future demand. Using Descriptive Statistics to Predict Values Descriptive statistics are brief descriptive coefficients that summarize a given data set, which can be either a representation of the entire or a sample of a population. Descriptive statistics are broken down into measures of central tendency and measures of variability (spread).A simple, but widely used, strategy to predict future demand is to use central tendencies of past data to be used as the future demand. Using Descriptive Statistics to Predict Values Descriptive statistics are brief descriptive coefficients that summarize a given data set, which can be either a representation of the entire or a sample of a population. Descriptive statistics are broken down into measures of central tendency and measures of variability (spread).A simple, but widely used, strategy to predict future demand is to use central tendencies of past data to be used as the future demand.Descriptive statistics are brief descriptive coefficients that summarize a given data set, which can be either a representation of the entire or a sample of a population. Descriptive statistics are broken down into measures of central tendency and measures of variability (spread).A simple, but widely used, strategy to predict future demand is to use central tendencies of past data to be used as the future demand.Descriptive statistics are brief descriptive coefficients that summarize a given data set, which can be either a representation of the entire or a sample of a population. Descriptive statistics are broken down into measures of central tendency and measures of variability (spread).A simple, but widely used, strategy to predict future demand is to use central tendencies of past data to be used as the future demand. Predicting using Moving Averages Moving Averages Prediction is another simple, but powerful, way to predict future values based on historic data. Moving Averages takes in to consideration recency of data. Predicting using Moving Averages Moving Averages Prediction is another simple, but powerful, way to predict future values based on historic data. Moving Averages takes in to consideration recency of data. Predicting using Moving Averages Moving Averages Prediction is another simple, but powerful, way to predict future values based on historic data. Moving Averages takes in to consideration recency of data. Predicting using Moving Averages Moving Averages Prediction is another simple, but powerful, way to predict future values based on historic data. Moving Averages takes in to consideration recency of data.Moving Averages Prediction is another simple, but powerful, way to predict future values based on historic data. Moving Averages takes in to consideration recency of data.Moving Averages Prediction is another simple, but powerful, way to predict future values based on historic data. Moving Averages takes in to consideration recency of data. Centred Moving Averages preview A more popular variation of Moving Averages is Centred Moving Averages. This video discussed using Centred Moving Averages for Predicting Future Value. Centred Moving Averages preview A more popular variation of Moving Averages is Centred Moving Averages. This video discussed using Centred Moving Averages for Predicting Future Value. Centred Moving Averages preview A more popular variation of Moving Averages is Centred Moving Averages. This video discussed using Centred Moving Averages for Predicting Future Value. Centred Moving Averages preview A more popular variation of Moving Averages is Centred Moving Averages. This video discussed using Centred Moving Averages for Predicting Future Value. A more popular variation of Moving Averages is Centred Moving Averages. This video discussed using Centred Moving Averages for Predicting Future Value. A more popular variation of Moving Averages is Centred Moving Averages. This video discussed using Centred Moving Averages for Predicting Future Value. Weighted Moving Averages Weighted Moving Averages is a more powerful tool for predicting future values as it has mechanism to give more priority to factors like RECENCY of data. Weighted Moving Averages Weighted Moving Averages is a more powerful tool for predicting future values as it has mechanism to give more priority to factors like RECENCY of data. Weighted Moving Averages Weighted Moving Averages is a more powerful tool for predicting future values as it has mechanism to give more priority to factors like RECENCY of data. Weighted Moving Averages Weighted Moving Averages is a more powerful tool for predicting future values as it has mechanism to give more priority to factors like RECENCY of data.Weighted Moving Averages is a more powerful tool for predicting future values as it has mechanism to give more priority to factors like RECENCY of data.Weighted Moving Averages is a more powerful tool for predicting future values as it has mechanism to give more priority to factors like RECENCY of data. Calculating Standard Deviation for Prediction made using Moving Averages One of the methods for finding confidence in the predictions made using Moving Averages is by determining and interpreting the Standard Deviation of the Predictions Linear Regression Linear regression is used to predict the value of a continuous variable Y based on one or more input predictor variables X. The aim is to establish a mathematical formula between the the response variable (Y) and the predictor variables...

Additional information

Basic Knowledge of Statistics Basic Knowledge of Algebra Basic Knowledge of Logarithm Basic Knowledge of Excel

Making Numerical Predictions For Time Series Data - Part 1/3

£ 50 VAT inc.